AURABOT floating in front of the AURA research reactor ring
AURA ROBOT · 49 MO+450RHYPOTHETICAL BACKTEST
> RESEARCH LINK ESTABLISHED> DATASET OCT 2022 – OCT 2026 LOADED> ACCESS GRANTED
● Research status: activeValidation archiveProprietary data: redacted

AURA RESEARCH
DIVISION

Ideas get tested here before they get trusted. Most of them fail, and we publish those too. You see the rigor, the evidence and the status of every program. The formulas stay private.

In-sample backtest2 of 8 setups held a cross-market checkForward test running, no capital
197experiments logged
1,474trades in the backtest
49months of data
14ideas killed and published
What this page covers

Research and results are different things.

This page

Automated strategy research

Rule-based strategies built and tested by the AURA lab on futures data, measured in R. These are hypothetical backtests and, from October 2026, forward shadow logs. They are not the Discord intelligence or Hologram Candles, and not any member's account.

Elsewhere

Member results

The Results Vault shows what individual members and the founder chose to share, with permission. Real, and individual. Never mixed into research numbers.

The pipeline

Every idea walks the same six steps.

An idea only reaches production after it survives all of them. Most stop at step two.

  1. Hypothesis

    A specific, testable claim about how a market behaves.

  2. Historical test

    Years of exchange futures data, every trade logged in R, fees and slippage included.

  3. Robustness

    Neighboring settings, other markets, each year on its own.

  4. Out-of-sample

    Data the settings never saw. Many ideas die here.

  5. Shadow / forward

    Runs live without risk, logged before the outcome is known.

  6. Production

    Only after the forward record agrees with the backtest.

Performance lab · hypothetical backtest

AURA Robot: four and a half years, every month shown.

October 2022 to October 2026 on Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Gold futures, ten automated programs in four families, micro contracts with fees and slippage, one open trade per market at a time, exactly how the live relay runs. Results are in R, one unit of fixed risk per trade, so they don't depend on account size.

Read these as in-sample research: the programs were built on this same history. In an October 2026 cross-market check, 6 of the 8 setups did not hold up outside Nasdaq, so the number below is a research benchmark, not a track record. The forward log is the real test.

+450Rcombined net, all programs
−18.0Rworst month-end drawdown
36 / 49positive months
38 / 38positive rolling 12-month periods
5 / 5positive calendar years
Cumulative R · month-end
CombinedNasdaq SessionNasdaq FlowNasdaq StructureGold Liquidity
Monthly consistency · combined RBrighter green = stronger month · grey = down month
Good months vs bad months · combined R
Monthly averages, Oct 2022 to Oct 2026
Average winning month
+15.5R
Average losing month
−8.2R
1.9×
winning months are bigger than losing months, which is why it adds up with 36 of 49 months positive
Stronger in the second half
about 90R/yr in late 2022 to mid-2024  →  about 130R/yr in mid-2024 to 2026

Nasdaq Session

Shadow

Three New York session programs on Nasdaq and S&P 500 futures. Low win rate by design: many small losses, fewer large winners. Now skips quiet opens, which cut its drawdown by more than half.

Net
+182.2R
Worst DD
−15.7R
By year
+8.8 · +34.9 · +47.1 · +69.4 · +21.9

Nasdaq Flow

Research

Four selective Nasdaq and S&P 500 programs that only trade on qualifying days, about seven trades a month.

Net
+197.6R
Worst DD
−26.4R
By year
−0.9 · +66.0 · +7.3 · +62.8 · +62.4

Nasdaq Structure

Shadow

A structural reversal program on Nasdaq futures in the New York morning, one trade a day at most.

Net
+38.5R
Worst DD
−8.4R
By year
+4.3 · +2.8 · +27.2 · +11.1 · −6.9

Gold Liquidity

Shadow

Two Gold programs built around liquidity in the New York morning. Small contributors, stronger since 2024.

Net
+32.0R
Worst DD
−7.8R
By year
−2.2 · −1.0 · +14.7 · +6.5 · +14.0

How to read this: by-year figures are October to December 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 and January to early October 2026. These are the conservative numbers: one open trade per market at a time (how the live relay runs), extra slippage on opening entries, half days left out. The tests run on one-minute exchange data for Nasdaq and Gold futures with micro contracts, commissions and slippage. Most programs were first built on 2022 to mid-2024 and then checked, unchanged, on mid-2024 to mid-2026; the three Nasdaq Flow programs were found in October 2026 and also checked on July to October 2026, which they had never seen, but those samples are small. A program is only added when it raises total R without making the worst drawdown worse relative to profit in both periods. Treat the figures as optimistic: forward shadow results will be published here separately, dated and unedited, and live fills can differ.

Earlier research · Nov 2023 to Oct 2026 · TradingView data

Published October 6, 2026 and kept here unchanged: AURA Core (Gold, Russell 2000, Dow) +119.6R, AURA Reversal (Nasdaq, Dow) +48.6R and AURA Edge (four selective S&P 500, Russell 2000 and Nasdaq programs) +168.3R, combined +336.5R with 33 of 36 positive months. These programs overlap only partly with the AURA Robot and stay in shadow. Their details are in the status board and the log below.

Program status

Where everything stands today.

AURA Robot · Nasdaq Session, Structure, Gold Liquidity

Four programs wired into the automation relay and running in dry run: live signals, no orders, no capital at risk.

Shadow

AURA Robot · Nasdaq Flow

Three programs and one more Session program passed the backtest and the portfolio test in October 2026. Next: dry run alongside the others.

Research

Funded-account sizing

The full robot is too large for smaller evaluation accounts at minimum size, so a lower-drawdown subset was defined for them. Sizing is set by the worst drawdown, never by margin.

Check

AURA Core

Backtest passed. Forward shadow log starts October 2026: live signals, no capital at risk, logged before the outcome.

Shadow

AURA Reversal

Backtest passed on Nasdaq and Dow. Running in shadow alongside Core.

Shadow

Edge · Open Drive (S&P 500)

A New York open program that only trades on selected days. +21.8R, positive every year. Forward shadow from October 2026.

Shadow

Edge · Liquidity Reversal (S&P 500)

A one-directional liquidity reversal, about two trades a month. +21.6R, positive every year. Forward shadow from October 2026.

Shadow

Edge · Russell Open (Russell 2000)

An opening-session reversal with resting limit entries. +45.8R, positive every year. Forward shadow from October 2026.

Shadow

Edge · Level Map (Nasdaq)

Built on AURA's proprietary level map, one-directional by design. +79.0R, worst drawdown −6.3R, positive every year. Forward shadow from October 2026.

Shadow

Position scaling (Core)

Split entries without raising maximum risk. Promoted into Core in October 2026: +119.6R versus +90.6R over the same three years, with a smaller worst drawdown. Forward shadow from October 2026.

Shadow

AURA Automation

The programs above, running hands-free on our own accounts first. Opens to others only after a live track record. Join the waitlist.

In development

Hologram Candles validation

Framework designed (below). Data collection has not started, so there are no numbers to show yet.

Study designed
Rejected

What didn't make it.

A lab that never rejects anything isn't testing anything. These ideas were built, tested and killed.

Third-party liquidity levels

Sweep, break and retest variations on Gold and Nasdaq. All lost money over three years.

Rejected

Market expansion: 4 of 9 markets

The Core engine was tested on nine more futures markets. S&P 500, crude oil, euro and copper failed and were dropped.

Rejected

High win-rate configuration

Reached an 85% win rate with very small targets, and cut total profit by about 70%. A win rate is not an edge.

Rejected

Trade-management overlays

Cutting losers early and letting winners run longer. Every early cut also killed winners that dipped first. Net flat.

Rejected

Range-breakout variants

Box and compression breakouts looked good in-sample and failed out-of-sample.

Rejected

Opening-gap strategies

Fading and following the overnight gap on five markets. One great year, then losses. Not consistent enough to keep.

Rejected

Classic day-structure setups

Initial-balance pullbacks and inside-day breakouts across five markets. Mostly losing over three years.

Rejected

Divergence and fake-break filters

Added on top of working programs, they removed more winners than losers.

Rejected

Brute-force pattern mining

About 50,000 combinations of price, volume and time conditions on Nasdaq and Gold. Real data passed no more often than shuffled data, so the survivors were luck.

Rejected

Cloning a discretionary trader

Models trained to copy a human trader's entries and exits, including higher timeframes, other markets and cycles. Once measured without look-ahead, they did no better than random.

Rejected

Projection levels from overnight structure

Fourteen projection levels, alone and in clusters. Even picked with hindsight, they marked the morning turn no more often than levels taken from random days.

Rejected

Stop-entry confirmation at extremes

Waiting for price to prove the turn with a stop order at stretched levels. About 185,000 simulated orders: break-even on its own.

Rejected

Gap-day mechanical entries

Looked strong on 2022 to 2025 data, then lost on four of five markets over the last ten months. Dropped before it went anywhere near a live account.

Rejected

Level-break continuation

Trading the first close through a mapped level toward the next one. Lost on all five markets tested.

Rejected
Hologram Candles™ validation framework

How the flagship will be judged.

Each projection gets recorded at five points, so anyone can see whether price followed the mapped scenario, without exposing how the projection is built.

BEFORE

The naked chart and session context at the time.

PROJECTION

The projected path, invalidation and objective, timestamped.

DURING

How price interacted with the path as it printed.

AFTER

Where price actually resolved.

VALIDATION

Counted outcomes with the sample size shown. No headline numbers before a dated sample exists.

Research log

Version history.

OCT 2026 Check

Cross-market check: most setups did not carry over

We re-ran the robot's setups on other markets they were never built on. 6 of the 8 did not hold up, which means much of the +450R is fitted to Nasdaq history. The headline stays on this page as an in-sample research benchmark, clearly labeled, and nothing goes live with capital until the forward log proves it.

Check
OCT 2026 Check

Numbers re-stated on a stricter test

Every program re-run on the last four years only (October 2022 to October 2026), one open trade per market at a time exactly like the live relay, extra slippage on opening entries and half days removed. The headline moved from +704R to +450R. Every rolling 12-month period and every quarter is still positive. The bigger number counted overlapping trades the live system would never take.

Check
OCT 2026 Check

Drawdown cut by about a third

One new rule for the Nasdaq Session family: skip quiet opens. Worst month-end drawdown went from −33.8R to −24.2R with about the same profit (+718R to +704R), better in both halves of the data and on July to October 2026, which it had never seen. Ten other drawdown ideas were tested and rejected.

OCT 2026 Shadow

AURA Robot rebuilt on exchange data

Every program re-tested on one-minute exchange data from January 2022, micro contracts, fees and slippage: every calendar year positive, every rolling 12-month period positive.

OCT 2026 Research

Four programs added by a portfolio test

Candidates were only kept if they raised total R without making drawdown worse relative to profit, in both the earlier and the later half of the data. Four passed; most candidates failed. The robot went from about 84R a year to about 160R a year.

OCT 2026 Rejected

Pattern mining, trader cloning, projection levels

Five research lines rejected, three of them after catching look-ahead mistakes in our own tests (see above).

OCT 2026 Shadow

Position scaling promoted into Core

Checked against the full portfolio first: about 11% more profit for the whole system, with risk growing less than profit. Core goes from +90.6R to +119.6R and stays positive in every year.

OCT 2026 Shadow

AURA Edge: four programs promoted to shadow

From roughly a hundred backtests across five markets, four selective programs held up in every year and across neighbouring settings. Added together with Core, they roughly doubled profit with no larger worst drawdown in testing.

OCT 2026 Check

Live scripts match the research

Each Edge program was rebuilt as a live script and re-run over the same three years before going to shadow. Results reproduced the research to the trade.

OCT 2026 Rejected

Gap, day-structure, filter and level-break ideas

Tested on five markets and rejected (see above).

OCT 2026 Research

Position scaling, full backtest

Split entries with the same maximum risk. Improved every Core market and reduced Gold's drawdown. Moved to research status pending forward data.

OCT 2026 Shadow

Core + Reversal combined

Two programs with negatively correlated months: +139.3R combined versus +90.6R for Core alone, with a smaller worst drawdown.

OCT 2026 Shadow

Reversal program built

A structural reversal entry with resting limit orders. Passed on Nasdaq and Dow; failed on Gold and Russell, so it doesn't trade them.

OCT 2026 Shadow

Core expanded to Russell 2000 and Dow

Gold's core logic held up on two more index markets. Four other markets were rejected.

OCT 2026 Rejected

Win-rate and trade-management experiments

High win-rate targets and early exits tested and rejected (see above).

EARLIER Check

Out-of-sample check

The full multi-filter setup only broke even on earlier years, while the simpler Gold core held up. The simpler version became Core.

REDACTED

Specific formulas, filters, thresholds, timing logic and execution rules are intentionally withheld. They form part of AURΔBØT's proprietary research framework. Published here: test periods, sample results, drawdowns, monthly consistency, versions and status.

The standard

Forward evidence is logged before the outcome and never edited.

Every forward entry carries the instrument, the session, the strategy version and a timestamp. Win rates appear only as counted outcomes from a dated, versioned sample, with the sample size shown.

Hypothetical performance disclosure

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

Trading futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation. Research programs described here are not offered as a managed or copy-trading service.

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